Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027386 0.030015 0.032618 0.035383 0.038233 0.041079 0.044130
2025-01-05 0.021908 0.026113 0.030397 0.035062 0.039974 0.044971 0.050421
2025-01-12 0.017896 0.023086 0.028512 0.034541 0.040996 0.047654 0.054999
2025-01-19 0.014177 0.019951 0.026154 0.033182 0.040824 0.048801 0.057688
2025-01-26 0.012604 0.018987 0.025985 0.034026 0.042858 0.052149 0.062563
2025-02-02 0.010807 0.017598 0.025211 0.034085 0.043933 0.054368 0.066132
2025-02-09 0.008728 0.015703 0.023738 0.033258 0.043941 0.055352 0.068292
2025-02-16 0.007523 0.014754 0.023273 0.033496 0.045063 0.057489 0.071640
2025-02-23 0.006289 0.013660 0.022568 0.033402 0.045763 0.059118 0.074391
2025-03-02 0.005100 0.012513 0.021731 0.033101 0.046187 0.060404 0.076728
2025-03-09 0.004128 0.011558 0.021070 0.032961 0.046753 0.061813 0.079167
2025-03-16 0.003026 0.010282 0.019945 0.032226 0.046605 0.062397 0.080669
2025-03-23 0.002155 0.009318 0.019288 0.032174 0.047398 0.064211 0.083739
2025-03-30 0.001290 0.008189 0.018390 0.031843 0.047905 0.065754 0.086571
2025-04-06 0.000583 0.007046 0.017388 0.031337 0.048174 0.067003 0.089056
2025-04-13 0.000040 0.005571 0.015798 0.030028 0.047449 0.067087 0.090206
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005311 0.015913 0.030841 0.049208 0.069972 0.094459
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004702 0.015459 0.030898 0.050046 0.071784 0.097491
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003747 0.014379 0.030101 0.049830 0.072365 0.099118
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003328 0.014104 0.030330 0.050829 0.074324 0.102274
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002810 0.013607 0.030239 0.051420 0.075796 0.104865
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002264 0.012984 0.029950 0.051750 0.076948 0.107079
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001828 0.012494 0.029815 0.052251 0.078284 0.109486